Table 2 Results of the time series analyses, 1970–2011
From: The influence of demographic factors on the supply of company training places in Germany
Supplied apprentice-ship places a) (1970-2011) | New contracts a) (1970-2011) | New contracts a) (1970-2011) | New contracts a) (1970-2011) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
(I) | (II) | (III) | (IV) | |
GROWTH*PRE-UNIFICATION (1970-1990) | -0.47* (0.24) | -0.25 (0.17) | -0.08 (0.19) | -0.24 (0.17) |
GROWTH*POST-UNIFICATION (1991-2011) | 1.07** (0.44) | 1.03*** (0.3) | 0.68** (0.33) | 1.01*** (0.3) |
LABOUR MARKET*PRE-UNIFICATION (1970-1990) | 0.31 (0.18) | 0.04 (0.13) | 0.04 (0.14) | 0.04 (0.12) |
LABOUR MARKET*POST-UNIFICATION (1991-2011) | 0.43 (0.36) | 0.38 (0.25) | 0.46* (0.26) | 0.38 (0.25) |
Graduates from schools of general educationb)*PRE-UNIFICATION (1970-1990) | 0.62*** (0.19) | 0.8*** (0.13) | 0.76*** (0.14) | -0.13 (0.35) |
Graduates from schools of general educationb)*POST-UNIFICATION (1991-2011) | 0.71 (0.56) | 0.99** (0.39) | 0.64 (0.42) | 0.85* (0.46) |
Share of lower secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*PRE-UNIFICATION (1970-1990) | 0.3 (0.2) | 0.36** (0.14) | ||
Share of lower secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*POST-UNIFICATION (1991-2011) | -0.41* (0.22) | -0.38** (0.15) | ||
Share of intermediate secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*PRE-UNIFICATION (‘70-’90) | 0.06 (0.16) | 0.25** (0.11) | ||
Share of intermediate secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*POST-UNIFICATION (‘91-’11) | 0.61 (0.41) | 0.74** (0.28) | ||
Lower secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*PRE-UNIFICATION (1970-1990) | 0.79*** (0.29) | |||
Lower secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*POST-UNIFICATION (1991-2011) | -0.8** (0.32) | |||
Intermediate secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*PRE-UNIFICATION (1970-1990) | 0.37** (0.16) | |||
Intermediate secondary school graduates in the total number of graduatesb)*POST-UNIFICATION (1991-2011) | 1.04** (0.39) | |||
Bargaining apprenticeship payc) | -0.17 (0.25) | -0.21 (0.17) | -0.23 (0.18) | -0.21 (0.17) |
Trend variable | 0.02** (0.01) | 0.01*** (0) | 0.01 (0.01) | 0.01*** (0) |
R-squared | 0.57 | 0.76 | 0.66 | 0.80 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.41 | 0.67 | 0.59 | 0.73 |
Durbin-Watson statistic | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.43 | 2.13 |
N | 42 | 42 | 42 | 42 |