Job opportunities and school-to-work transitions in occupational labour markets. Are occupational change and unskilled employment after vocational education interrelated?

Buchs, Helen; Helbling, Laura Alexandra

doi:10.1186/s40461-016-0044-x

Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training

Table 2 Average marginal effects on joint probabilities of transition outcomes

From: Job opportunities and school-to-work transitions in occupational labour markets. Are occupational change and unskilled employment after vocational education interrelated?

Joint probabilities	\(\left( {Occ = 1, Inad = 1} \right)\) N = 108		\(\left( {Occ = 0, Inad = 0} \right)\) N = 729		\(\left( {Occ = 0, Inad = 1} \right)\) N = 145		\(\left( {Occ = 1, Inad = 0} \right)\) N = 135
Joint probabilities	AME	S.e.	AME	S.e.	AME	s.e.	AME	s.e.
Occ-specific job opportunities	−0.54**	0.18	0.91**	0.31	0.18	0.18	−0.55***	0.15
Overall labour demand	0.006	0.007	−0.008	0.014	−0.009	0.007	0.012*	0.005
Ratio of unskilled work	0.44*	0.21	−0.83*	0.40	0.40	0.31	−0.01	0.23
Field^b: construction	0.07	0.05	−0.17(*)	0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	0.03
Field^b: business and sales	0.17***	0.04	−0.29***	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.09*	0.04
Field^b: services	0.07	0.06	−0.14	0.11	−0.01	0.06	0.08	0.05
Field^b: printing and design	0.01	0.04	−0.03	0.10	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04
Field^b: medical care	0.03	0.05	−0.10	0.10	0.10	0.07	−0.02	0.03
Field^b: informat. tech.	−0.04	0.02	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.07	−0.05*	0.02
Field^b: agricult. and gardening	−0.01	0.03	−0.00	0.09	0.05	0.06	−0.03	0.03
Occ. baccalaureate	0.02	0.03	−0.04	0.05	−0.00	0.03	0.02	0.03
Level of IVET	0.01	0.01	−0.01	0.02	−0.01	0.01	0.02(*)	0.01
Lower secondary^a (basic)	0.05(*)	0.03	−0.10*	0.05	0.06()*	0.03	−0.02	0.02
Lower secondary^a (not formal)	−0.02	0.04	0.02	0.09	−0.04	0.03	0.04	0.07
Reading literacy	0.00	0.00	−0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	−0.00	0.00
Gender (male)	0.045*	0.02	−0.08(*)	0.04	−0.02	0.03	0.05*	0.02
Migrant background	0.02	0.04	−0.05	0.07	0.07	0.05	−0.04	0.03
Parental ISEI	−0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	−0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Satisfaction with IVET	−0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	−0.02(*)	0.01	0.01	0.01
Self-efficacy	0.01	0.03	−0.02	0.05	−0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02
Region^c: French	−0.00	0.03	−0.01	0.05	0.04	0.04	−0.03	0.03
Region^c: Italian	0.01	0.05	−0.02	0.09	−0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05

The number of cases differs slightly from those reported in Table 1 due to list wise deletion on missing values in some explaining variables
(*) p ≤ 0.1
* p ≤ 0.05
** p ≤ 0.01
*** p ≤ 0.001
^aRef.cat: lower secondary with extended requirements
^bRef. cat: field of technical occupations
^cRef.cat: German speaking region

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