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Table 4 Multinomial lohgit sub-sample model with preferences and interaction (AME)

From: Vocational training choice from a regional perspective

 

Agriculture

Production

Construction

Science

Logistics

Trade

Clerical

Social services

 Individual characteristics

Gender (ref.male)

 Female

−0.0149 (0.0071)*

−0.4001 (0.0232)***

−0.0786 (0.0100)***

−0.0685 (0.0106)***

−0.0276 (0.0071)***

0.0622 (0.0176)***

0.1578 (0.0213)***

0.3697 (0.0236)***

Migration background (ref.no)

 Yes

−0.0202 (0.0060)***

−0.0260 (0.0236)

−0.0306 (0.0107)**

−0.0057 (0.0166)

0.0051 (0.0118)

0.0132 (0.0171)

0.0267 (0.0211)

0.0376 (0.0232)

 Mathematical competence

0.0021 (0.0023)

0.0218 (0.0122)

−0.0000 (0.0070)

0.0063 (0.0064)

−0.0021 (0.0051)

−0.0170 (0.0103)

0.0206 (0.0110)

−0.0317 (0.0120)**

 Reading competence

−0.0063 (0.0037)

−0.0042 (0.0082)

−0.0145 (0.0044)**

0.0230 (0.0056)***

−0.0055 (0.0043)

−0.0146 (0.0083)

0.0096 (0.0091)

0.0124 (0.0097)

 Overall grade

0.0048 (0.0089)

−0.0032 (0.0204)

0.0224 (0.0095)*

−0.0236 (0.0087)

0.0048 (0.0057)

0.0267 (0.0154)

−0.0895 (0.0163)***

0.0576 (0.0182)

Information vocational training position (ref.unlikely)

 Likely

0.0057 (0.0086)

0.0246 (0.0358)

0.0388 (0.0103)***

−0.0433 (0.0250)

−0.0300 (0.0149)

−0.0201 (0.0208)

0.0063 (0.0291)

0.0179 (0.0269)

Mobility (ref.immobile)

 Mobile

−0.0109 (0.0063)

−0.0254 (0.0214)

−0.0285 (0.0098)

0.0087 (0.0125)

0.0219 (0.0084)

0.0135 (0.0151)

0.0074 (0.0178)

0.0133 (0.0165)

 Equivalized income

−0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000)

0.0000 (0.0000)

0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000)

0.0000 (0.0000)

− 0.0000 (0.0000)

 Time lag

−0.0045 (0.0071)

−0.0587 (0.0182)**

−0.0124 (0.0131)

−0.0233 (0.0121)

0.0071 (0.0048)

0.0388 (0.0111)***

0.0121 (0.0119)

0.0409 (0.0137)**

Occupational preferences

 Comfort aspect

−0.0033 (0.0043)

−0.0113 (0.0103)

–0.0187 (0.0048)***

0.0250 (0.0081)**

−0.0158 (0.0044)***

−0.0053 (0.0094)

0.0368 (0.0094)***

−0.0074 (0.0111)

 Economic aspect

−0.0137 (0.0050)**

0.0461 (0.0152)**

−0.0109 (0.0050)*

−0.0077 (0.0102)

0.0086 (0.0050)

0.0120 (0.0134)

0.0284 (0.0140)*

−0.0629 (0.0143)***

 Social orientation

0.0128 (0.0045)**

−0.0375 (0.0106)***

0.0161 (0.0053)**

−0.0125 (0.0055)*

0.0029 (0.0045)

−0.0321 (0.0106)**

−0.0413 (0.0105)***

0.0917 (0.0119)***

Regional characteristics

Type of region (ref.urban regions)

 Regions with urbanization trend

−0.0090 (0.0180)

0.0208 (0.0375)

0.0142 (0.0253)

0.0189 (0.0214)

0.0083 (0.0138)

−0.0039 (0.0317)

−0.0045 (0.0314)

−0.0448 (0.0371)

 Rural regions

−0.0234 (0.0206)

0.0293 (0.0504)

0.0021 (0.0269)

0.0482 (0.0375

−0.0008 (0.0145)

−0.0083 (0.0469)

0.0038 (0.0423)

−0.0509 (0.0482)

Occupational structure

 Share_Agriculture

−0.0027 (0.0064)

0.0172 (0.0170)

−0.0069 (0.0104)

0.0100 (0.0106)

−0.0117 (0.0072)

−0.0302 (0.0184)

−0.0246 (0.0147)

0.0489 (0.0220)

 Share_Construction

0.0142 (0.0063) *

0.0227 (0.0201)

0.0107 (0.0101)

−0.0593 (0.0211) ****

0.0165 (0.0083) *

0.0254 (0.0224)

0.0064 (0.0171)

−0.0366 (0.0239)

Share_Science

0.0057 (0.0061)

0.0326 (0.0244)

0.0071 (0.0118)

−0.0077 (0.0116)

−0.0027 (0.0067)

−0.0143(0.0183)

−0.0303 (0.0135)

0.0096 (0.0166)

 Share_Logistics

0.0003 (0.0059)

−0.0024 (0.0172)

0.0175** (0.0065)

−0.0213 (0.0155)

0.0040 (0.0046)

−0.0084 (0.0152)

0.0153 (0.0126)

−0.0050 (0.0149)

 Share_Trade

−0.0025 (0.0064)

0.0059 (0.0167)

0.0068 (0.0098)

−0.0010 (0.0098)

−0.0082 (0.0051)

0.0067 (0.0108)

−0.0094 (0.0099)

0.0017 (0.0117)

 Share_Clerical

0.0016 (0.0039)

−0.0080 (0.0173)

0.0051 (0.0077)

−0.0042 (0.0081)

0.0058 (0.0056)

0.0150 (0.0120)

0.0210 (0.0098)*

−0.0364 (0.0143)*

 Share_Social services

−0.0081 (0.0076)

0.0195 (0.0223)

0.0090 (0.0123)

−0.0141 (0.0149)

−0.0069 (0.0083)

−0.0050 (0.0221)

0.0042 (0.0162)

0.0014 (0.0235)

 Supply−demand relation vocational trainings

−0.0059 (0.0047)

−0.0051 (0.0110)

−0.0085 (0.0068)

−0.0195 (0.0103)

0.0112 (0.0044)

0.0126 (0.0128)

0.0194 (0.0109)

−0.0042 (0.0116)

 Share of upper secondary school graduates

−0.0107 (0.0055)

0.0207 (0.0124)

0.0184 (0.0061)**

−0.0239 (0.0099)*

0.0079 (0.0040)

0.0005 (0.0125)

−0.0073 (0.0117)

−0.0056 (0.0150)

 Unemployment rate

0.0032 (0.0054)

0.0115 (0.0157)

−0.0183 (0.0097)

0.0056 (0.0137)

0.0050 (0.0056)

−0.0113 (0.0136)

−0.0101 (0.0128)

0.0146 (0.0149)

Diversity index   (Simpson )

0.0025 (0.0090)

0.0588 (0.0298)*

.0094 (0.0129)

−0.0337 (0.0172)

−0.0091 (0.0101)

−0.0214 (0.0237)

0.0011 (0.0163)

−0.0075 (0.0241)

Interaction effects

 Comfort aspects with:

Type of region

Simpson index

Yes

Yes

       

 Economic aspects with:

Type of region

Simpson index

Yes

Yes

       

 Social orientation with:

Type of region

Simpson index

Yes

Yes

       
  1. N:1897; Pseudo R2:0.24, Log Likelihood: −2499.04; AIC:5176.08; BIC: 5669.86
  2. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
  3. Interaction effects see Figs. 5, 6, 7, 8