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Table 5 Multinomial logit full-sample model without preferences (AME)

From: Vocational training choice from a regional perspective

 

Agriculture

Production

Construction

Science

Logistics

Trade

Clerical

Social Services

Individual characteristics

Gender (ref.male)

 Female

−0.0127 (0.0054) *

−0.4141 (0.0156) ***

−0.1105 (0.0088) ***

−0.0490 (0.0068) ***

−0.0487 (0.0064) ***

0.0982 (0.0123) ***

0.1287 (0.0136) ***

0.4081 (0.0151) ***

Migration background (ref.no)

 Yes

−0.0209 (0.0040)***

−0.0190 (0.0155)

−0.0300 (0.0110) **

0.0040 (0.0104)

−0.0022 (0.0071)

0.0256 (0.0140)

0.0328 (0.0128) *

0.0097 (0.0175)

Mathematical competence

0.0008 (0.0021)

0.0340 (0.0088)***

−0.0085 (0.0061)

0.0097 (0.0044) *

−0.0074 (0.0039)

−0.0141 (0.0067) *

0.0104 (0.0077)

−0.0249 (0.0077) **

 Reading competence

−0.0027 (0.0030)

−0.0064 (0.0070)

−0.0105 (0.0049) *

0.0105 (0.0042) *

−0.0042 (0.0036)

0.0052 (0.0059)

0.0029 (0.0062)

0.0156 (0.0067) *

 Overall grade

0.0019 (0.0056)

−0.0055 (0.0157)

0.0273 (0.0092) **

−0.0206 (0.0076)**

0.0044 (0.0059)

0.0382 (0.0112)***

−0.0797 (0.0108)

0.0341 (0.0107)**

School degree (ref. LSS degree)

 ISS degree

0.0008 (0.0060)

−0.0362 (0.0152) *

−0.0557 (0.0115) ***

0.0401 (0.0076)***

−0.0170 (0.0074) *

−0.0046 (0.0129)

0.0998 (0.0115) ***

−0.0272 (0.0166)

Information vocational training position (ref.unlikely)

 Likely

0.0032 (0.0051)

−0.0211 (0.0211)

0.0254 (0.0080) **

−0.0115 (0.0123)

−0.0088

(0.0086)

−0.0317 (0.0178)

−0.0008 (0.0168)

0.0453 (0.0174) **

Mobility (ref.immobile)

 Mobile

−0.0082 (0.0043)

−0.0078 (0.0164)

−0.0182 (0.0084) *

−0.0002 (0.0075)

0.0129 (0.0079)

−0.0058 (0.0120)

−0.0010 (0.0123)

0.0282 (0.0144)

 Equivalized income

−0.0000 (0.0000)

0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000)

0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000)

0.0000 (0.0000)

−0.0000 (0.0000) *

 Time lag

−0.0076 (0.0039)

−0.0237 (0.0099)*

−0.0228 (0.0075)**

−0.0073 (0.0063)

0.0113 (0.0033)***

0.0216 (0.0068)**

0.0101

(0.0068)

0.0184 (0.0086)*

Regional characteristics

Type of region (ref.urban regions)

 Regions with urbanization trend

−0.0111 (0.0131)

0.0205 (0.0298)

−0.0024 (0.0161)

0.0045 (0.0133)

−0.0010 (0.0134)

−0.0447 (0.0241)

0.0119 (0.0173)

0.0222 (0.0221)

 Rural regions

−0.0128 (0.0179)

0.0436 (0.0392)

−0.0183 (0.0186)

0.0176 (0.0190)

−0.0183 (0.0152)

−0.0702 (0.0287)

0.0421 (0.0302)

0.0162 (0.0269)

Occupational structure

 Share_Agriculture

−0.0001 (0.0051)

0.0112 (0.0138)

0.0020 (0.0091)

0.0028 (0.0073)

−0.0039 (0.0068)

−0.0139 (0.0120)

−0.0210 (0.0123)

0.0230 (0.0167)

 Share_Construction

0.0030 (0.0070)

0.0094 (0.0155)

0.0111 (0.0080)

−0.0252 (0.0131)

0.0119 (0.0085)

0.0321 (0.0150)

−0.0062 (0.0153)

−0.0360 (0.0155) *

 Share_Science

−0.0008 (0.0048)

0.0095 (0.0159)

0.0060 (0.0068)

0.0010 (0.0063)

−0.0113 (0.0066)

−0.0038 (0.0113)

−0.0044 (0.0099)

0.0037 (0.0125)

 Share_Logistics

−0.0006 (0.0050)

−0.0158 (0.0117)

0.0194 (0.0043) ***

−0.0102 (0.0091)

−0.0056 (0.0055)

−0.0021 (0.0113)

0.0190 (0.0109)

−0.0041 (0.0113)

 Share_Trade

−0.0014 (0.0047)

0.0049 (0.0102)

0.0004 (0.0060)

0.0009 (0.0056)

−0.0060 (0.0047)

0.0136 (0.0075)

0.0001 (0.0078)

−0.0125 (0.0087)

 Share_Clerical

−0.0004 (0.0037)

−0.0277 (0.0131) *

0.0208 (0.0055) ***

−0.0017 (0.0044)

0.0025 (0.0046)

0.0097 (0.0074)

0.0236 (0.0068) ***

−0.0267 (0.0102) **

 Share_Social services

−0.0042 (0.0075)

−0.0095 (0.0156)

0.0113 (0.0088)

−0.0028 (0.0088)

−0.0145 (0.0067)*

0.0106 (0.0148)

0.0152 (0.0118)

−0.0061 (0.0164)

 Supply−demand relation vocational trainings

−0.0052 (0.0041)

−0.0179 (0.0084)*

−0.0077 (0.0058)

−0.0117 (0.0058)*

0.0056 (0.0041)

0.0077 (0.0084)

0.0194 (0.0087)*

0.0099 (0.0088)

 Share of upper secondary school graduates

−0.0044 (0.0035)

0.0187 (0.0083)*

0.0064 (0.0074)

−0.0131 (0.0053)*

0.0024 (0.0044)

−0.0065 (0.0084)

−0.0122 (0.0065)

0.0086 (0.0084)

 Unemployment rate

−0.0044 (0.0045)

0.0007 (0.0114)

−0.0215 (0.0069)**

0.0055 (0.0088)

0.0038 (0.0048)

−0.0173 (0.0104)

0.0011 (0.0089)

0.0320 (0.0097)

 Simpson index

−0.0032 (0.0086)

0.0269 (0.0232)

0.0133 (0.0098)

−0.0169 (0.0092)

−0.0162 (0.0089)

0.0072 (0.0149)

0.0163 (0.0109)

−0.0273 (0.0165)

Interaction effect

School degree with:

Type of region

Simpson index

Yes

Yes

       
  1. N: 3403; Pseudo R2: 0.22; Log Likelihood: −4706.99; AIC: 9593.97; BIC: 10,145.89
  2. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
  3. Interaction effects see Figs. 9, 10